Episode #30: Meet the Startup Revolutionizing Road Safety with Radar Tech

Tech Optimist Podcast — Tech, Entrepreneurship, and Innovation

Tech Optimist Episode #30: Meet the Startup Revolutionizing Road Safety with Radar Tech
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On this episode of the Tech Optimist podcast, Mike Collins chats with Nathan Mintz, a serial deep tech entrepreneur and the Chairman and Founding CEO of Spartan, an Alumni Ventures portfolio company. Nathan shares insights from his extensive career at Raytheon and Boeing, and discusses his current role at Spartan, where he leads the development of advanced software to enhance automotive radar systems for improved resolution and reliability. The conversation also explores the broader impact of Silicon Valley’s innovations on defense technology and the pivotal role of advanced technologies in modern warfare. Nathan concludes by offering valuable advice for fellow entrepreneurs, stressing the importance of learning from mistakes and being resilient in the face of challenges. Tune in for an enlightening discussion that bridges past experiences with futuristic innovations.

Episode #30: Revolutionizing Road Safety with Radar Tech

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In this episode of the Tech Optimist podcast, Nathan Mintz, the Chairman and Founding CEO of Spartan shares his journey from working at Raytheon and Boeing to leading Spartan in developing cutting-edge automotive radar software. They discuss Silicon Valley’s influence on defense technology and the crucial role of advanced tech in modern warfare. Nathan also offers invaluable advice for entrepreneurs, emphasizing resilience and learning from mistakes. Tune in for an inspiring conversation on the intersection of past experiences and future innovations.

Watch Time ~41 minutes

The show is produced by Alumni Ventures, which has been recognized as a “Top 20 Venture Firm” by CB Insights (’24) and as the “#1 Most Active Venture Firm in the US” by Pitchbook (’22 & ’23).

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Creators and Guests

HOST

Mike Collins
CEO, and Co-Founder at Alumni Ventures

Mike has been involved in almost every facet of venturing, from angel investing to venture capital, new business and product launches, and innovation consulting. He is currently CEO of Alumni Ventures Group, the managing company for our fund, and launched AV’s first alumni fund, Green D Ventures, where he oversaw the portfolio as Managing Partner and is now Managing Partner Emeritus. Mike is a serial entrepreneur who has started multiple companies, including Kid Galaxy, Big Idea Group (partially owned by WPP), and RDM. He began his career at VC firm TA Associates. He holds an undergraduate degree in Engineering Science from Dartmouth and an MBA from Harvard Business School.

GUEST

Nathan Mintz
Chairman and Founding CEO of Spartan

Nathan Mintz is a serial deep tech entrepreneur and the Chairman and Founding CEO of Spartan, a radar technology company dedicated to improving transportation through better sensing.

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Important Disclosure Information

The Tech Optimist Podcast is for informational purposes only. It is not personalized advice and is neither an offer to sell, nor a solicitation of an offer to purchase, any security. Such offers are made only to eligible investors, pursuant to the formal offering documents of appropriate investment funds. Please consult with your advisors before making any investment with Alumni Ventures. For more information, please see here.

One or more investment funds affiliated with AV may have invested, or may in the future invest, in some of the companies featured on the Podcast. This circumstance constitutes a conflict of interest. Any testimonials or endorsements regarding AV on the Podcast are made without compensation but the providers may in some cases have a relationship with AV from which they benefit. All views expressed on the Podcast are the speaker’s own. Any testimonials or endorsements expressed on the Podcast do not represent the experience of all investors or companies with which AV invests or does business.

The Podcast includes forward-looking statements, generally consisting of any statement pertaining to any issue other than historical fact, including without limitation predictions, financial projections, the anticipated results of the execution of any plan or strategy, the expectation or belief of the speaker, or other events or circumstances to exist in the future. Forward looking statements are not representations of actual fact, depend on certain assumptions that may not be realized, and are not guaranteed to occur. Any forward- looking statements included in this communication speak only as of the date of the communication. AV and its affiliates disclaim any obligation to update, amend, or alter such forward-looking statements whether due to subsequent events, new information, or otherwise.

Frequently Asked Questions

FAQ
  • Sam:
    Welcome back to this episode. My name is Sam, the footnote writer and organizer for this show. And today, Mike and his guest are talking about Battlestar Galactica, drones, and radar systems. Welcome back.

    Nathan Mintz:
    We build software for automotive radar that improves its resolution and thereby its reliability for your car safety systems and such.

    Mike Collins:
    If we are going to maintain America as a strong voice of Western democracy, there are strategic areas that we cannot afford not to be a leader in.

    Sam:
    In a world captivated by criticism, it’s easy to overlook the groundbreaking technologies shaping our future. Let’s shine a light on innovators who are propelling us forward. As the most active venture capital firm in the US, we have an exceptional view of tech’s real-world impact. Join us as we explore, celebrate, and contribute to the stories of those creating tomorrow.

    Welcome to The Tech Optimist. As a reminder, The Tech Optimist podcast is for informational purposes only. It is not personalized advice, and it’s not an offer to buy or sell securities. For additional important details, please see the text description accompanying this episode.

    Nathan Mintz:
    So you’re at your house in New Hampshire, is that what I understood?

    Mike Collins:
    We’re located in Manchester, New Hampshire, correct. Our corporate offices are in an old mill building—classic New England, old mill town—next door neighbor to Dean Kamen of Segway fame. Yeah, it’s great to see these mills being recycled. So, a lot of character, a lot of history. Where does this find you today?

    Nathan Mintz:
    I’m in Redondo Beach, California.

    Mike Collins:
    Yeah. Fantastic.

    Nathan Mintz:
    About a stone’s throw away from Gundo, as the kids are calling it.

    Mike Collins:
    Yes. Yeah, we’re on opposite ends of the coast here. So pleased to be joined by Nathan Mintz today. Nathan, really fascinating background, serial entrepreneur, areas that you’re really known for. Why don’t you give folks just a little flavor of your career and areas of expertise?

    Nathan Mintz:
    Yeah. Well, thanks for the introduction, Mike, and thanks for having me on here. I’m excited to have AVG as a partner as we build my second company, Spartan.

    I’ve spent about the last 20 years of my career, since graduating from Stanford—I was a materials science engineering major for both undergraduate and graduate school there. I graduated in about 2005, and after that, I went into big aerospace: Raytheon and Boeing. I worked on numerous space programs. I was a payload systems engineer and I was also a radar and electronic warfare systems engineer. I used to fly around in a test plane and test various sensors of various types.

    Mike Collins:
    That sounds super cool to me, by the way.

    Nathan Mintz:
    Yeah. The test plane was the ugliest plane at LAX. It was a 727 with an F18 nose. And I remember sitting there with my headset on—we had a Cray supercomputer running at the time because this was a few years ago—and you’d hear, “Hey, Voodoo One,” that was the call sign, “What are you anyway? You’re the ugliest plane I’ve ever seen. Over.” And we’d reply, “Yeah, we can’t tell you what we’re doing.” It was a mobile test plane.

    So, I did that for about 15 years. I worked on weapons programs, communication programs, all sorts of stuff. I went into business development, and they used to bring me in to work corporate strategy at Boeing. We actually won a couple of satellite programs while I was there—about $10 billion in business.

    From there, I’d always been in touch with my friends from Stanford who were in the valley doing exciting things. One day, I got a call from an old friend, Joe Lonsdale, from college—

    Sam:
    Joe Lonsdale is an entrepreneur and investor. He’s a managing partner at 8VC, a US-based venture capital firm that manages several billion in committed capital.

    Nathan Mintz:
    —who said, “Hey, we’re interested in starting a defense vertical. Do you have any ideas?”

    That same day, I was watching television and saw drones shutting down the airport at Gatwick in London. I thought, “What’s going on here?” I dug in and discovered that there were 200 counter-UAS systems—or counter-drone systems—out there, and 90% of them were some lousy jammer someone built in their garage. They all sucked.

    There was one system that seemed to work well: an EMP (electromagnetic pulse) system that fried drones’ electronics. But it was enormous—$25 million and half the size of my house. I thought, “That’s just not practical tactically.” But based on what I knew about what it would take, I realized you could get there with solid-state phased arrays, gallium nitride, and newer advanced semiconductor materials.

    I did the math and brought in Dr. Bo Marr, my co-founder at Epirus. We wondered how to prove it. With what we knew in our heads, we could go to jail if we tried to do it outside, because some of it was classified. So, we bought a bunch of drones at Walmart and experimented on them—took covers off and checked where voltages could change.

    Sam:
    Yeah, very Silicon Valley.

    Nathan Mintz:
    Yeah. Based on that, we went to Joe. My first meeting with him, I walked in with a pitch deck and explained: “We have a system to basically fry any piece of electronics at scale using commercial technology.” Joe said, “Okay, I’ll give you $3 million.” I said, “Excuse me?” He replied, “Yeah. Go call Judy, your wife—I’ve known her a long time—and tell her you’re going to be CEO of this new company. What’s it called again? Oh yeah, Epirus.” I was like, “Oh, really? Okay.” It was one of those in-media-res, surprise hero moments.

    I spent the next two years building Epirus. We took it from three guys at rented desks in what was basically a yoga mat office in El Segundo, to a 20,000-square-foot facility in Hawthorne with big chambers and everything. We built our first minimum viable prototype, demonstrated it for the Air Force, and brought in a couple million in contracts.

    Then COVID hit, and I had just had a baby. We transitioned to a professional operator in DC. I’ve been involved as an advisor ever since. Now, the company is a defense unicorn. They raised about $300 million, valued at $3 billion at the last evaluation. They have multiple systems in the Army’s hands and won a $70 million contract. The company now has 200 people. I know the CEO very well—he used to be my boss at Raytheon, Andy Lowery. It’s truly groundbreaking technology.

    That was my first company. The second company, which I’m proud to say is part of the AVG portfolio, is called Spartan. We build software for automotive radar that improves its resolution and thereby its reliability for car safety systems. We also take some of that software and instantiate it in our own hardware, called Hoplo, which we sell for commercial vehicles—for trailers on trucks.

    We have a partnership with one of the largest trailer outfitters, Phillips Industries, to put those on the back of trailers. We also serve heavy equipment like big Caterpillars. We have 11 different distributors on three continents and are shipping hundreds of radars right now. Spartan is based in Los Alamitos. I stepped down as CEO about a year ago, and my co-founder Blake Gasca, who recently took over, is the current CEO.

    The company has faced a few bumps in the automotive market, so we’ve been doubling down on commercial vehicles and how we sell into those fleets and heavy equipment. We’re doing demonstrations with Walmart and Home Depot for forklifts because it turns out they hit a lot of people when carrying big loads that obscure the driver’s vision.

    The company has raised about $46 million to date. We’re a Series B company and really excited about the future—we love having AVG involved.

    Sam:
    On Spartan’s website, they have a really nicely done video called Spartan Software Solutions, which has a lot of cool graphics and animations that help people understand their technology. I wanted to share it, so here is that video—it’s about two minutes long. Then we’re going to hop into a quick break, and after that, we’ll get right back into the interview.

    Speaker 4:
    The mobility space has a problem. There are tens of millions of vehicles already on the road with sensor perception systems that fall short, especially when it comes to vulnerable road users. When pedestrians and cyclists outnumber cars, the challenges multiply.

    Crack the code and you not only save lives, you accelerate the world’s mobility. Spartan hasn’t just cracked the code—our software leapfrogs the traditional, time-intensive, and expensive roadmap, finally unleashing the power of automated mobility.

    Built by engineers with decades of experience in aerospace and defense, Spartan software supercharges existing sensor platforms. This cost-effective approach delivers the resolution and response time necessary to achieve the highest level of performance in all conditions.

    Sensor platforms powered by Spartan’s ever-evolving software currently deliver consistent performance with five times improvement in resolution and report hazards within 75 milliseconds. This software nests easily on your FPGA, ECU, or central computer, turning your sensor stack into an application platform that unlocks adaptive and context-aware resource management.

    Spartan software consistently delivers higher performance on commodity sensors and lower costs on any platform, future-proofing performance through over-the-air updates. Today, Spartan works with some of the top mobility technology providers and vehicle manufacturers, who’ve seen the Spartan difference with their own data sets.

    Want Spartan results with your mobility solution? Our software seamlessly embeds with your existing development process, adding frictionless optimization to your hardware. Realize the promise of automated mobility today with Spartan.

    Matt Caspari:
    Hey everyone, just taking a quick break so I can tell you about the Deep Tech Fund from Alumni Ventures. AV is one of the only VC firms focused on making venture capital accessible to individual investors like you. In fact, AV is one of the most active and best-performing VCs in the US, and we co-invest alongside renowned lead investors.

    With our Deep Tech Fund, you’ll have the opportunity to invest in innovative solutions to major technical and scientific challenges—companies that have the potential to redefine industries, create a more sustainable future, and deliver significant financial returns. If you’re interested, visit us at av.vc/funds/deeptech. Now back to the show.

    Mike Collins:
    I want to ask you a little bit… you have a very interesting perspective. A lot of us, from afar, have been observing things going on in Ukraine and the Middle East. It seems we’re at a different juncture now with technology and warfare. We see drones being shot down by super-expensive systems. I’d like your perspective on where we are as a country with this stuff right now. Are we at another inflection point of new technologies? What are the investment opportunities? Will Silicon Valley play more in this next phase of innovation and defense? What do you think?

    Nathan Mintz:
    There was an article recently in Defense One that said Silicon Valley is the new defense industrial base. The reason is that we are truly at one of those inflection points in how we acquire materiel with which to make war.

    Since the early ’90s, we’ve seen some megatrends. One is the erosion of defense-specific electronics in favor of commercial parts. We’ve seen massive consolidation in semiconductors, where pretty much everything now goes through TSMC, or GlobalFoundries, or similar. This consolidation makes it increasingly hard for the defense industrial base to build its own custom hardware.

    On the other side, we’ve seen a massive consolidation in defense contractors that peaked around 2018–2020. We went from 50 contractors to basically 6 that could build missiles or rockets: Boeing, Raytheon, L3Harris, General Dynamics, Lockheed, and Northrop. Secondary players include Leidos, Mercury, and General Atomics (Leidos used to be SAIC).

    People have now realized this stifled competition and innovation. Those companies became entirely dependent on government-funded R&D and shifted to cost-plus contracts. As a result, they got tied to huge Battlestar Galactica–style programs—massive platforms that can’t iterate software or development cycles fast enough compared to what we see on the battlefield.

    What happened in Israel recently, with 300 drones and ballistic missiles flying in from Iran, is a microcosm of what’s coming in warfare. We’re transitioning away from massive, billion-dollar intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance platforms (products of the 1980s “second offset strategy”) to more distributed, cheaper, and agile systems.

     

    Sam:
    Here’s a bit more on the second offset strategy that Nathan mentioned.

    The second offset was a strategic approach developed by the United States during the Cold War to counter the Soviet Union’s growing conventional military superiority.

    It emerged in the 1970s and ’80s, when the Soviet Union had achieved nuclear parity and maintained a significant numerical advantage in conventional forces. The goal was to deter Soviet aggression without matching their numbers in tanks, troops, jets, and ships.

    The approach focused on developing smaller numbers of extremely capable, high-quality equipment, leap-ahead technologies, and associated operational concepts. It spanned multiple US presidencies (Nixon through Reagan) and took about 20 years to develop and implement.

    Key technologies included precision targeting, stealth tech, advanced sensors and communications systems, and improved battlefield awareness.

     

    Nathan Mintz:
    That strategy led to the paradigm of network-centric warfare and standoff systems. It was designed around defending Germany’s Fulda Gap during the Cold War, and it was later applied in the Gulf War, where we dominated.

    But enemies adapt—they saw that and decided to decentralize and use asymmetric systems. We saw a preview during the war on terror: basement-built IEDs taking out multimillion-dollar vehicles using artillery shells wired to telephones.

    Now, with autonomous systems, low-cost software-defined radios, and other tech, it’s much easier to join this networked battlespace. Barriers to entry for non-state actors or poorer states to offset US advantages are significantly lower than ever before.

    Nathan Mintz:
    And the defense acquisition base has not adapted to that. The big six are still very much married to these large, fifth-generation platforms like the F-35. In the wars we’re going to fight in the future—particularly through proxies, like what’s happening in Ukraine and with our current engagements—that just doesn’t work anymore. The enemy knows that if they go toe-to-toe with us in an air-to-air battle scenario, we’re going to win. So they’re using their vote, adapting, and going where we least expect it.

    We’re seeing a transition away from maneuver and highly network-centric intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems with guided weapons toward attritable mass—where an adversary throws 1,000 drones at you or…

     

    Sam:
    Let me provide a bit of context here. When Nathan refers to “Battlestar Galactica–type warfare,” he’s describing the classic mindset in military planning: massive, expensive, networked systems that are difficult to adapt or iterate.

    Modern military technology is shifting toward proxy technology—minimizing human risk and leveraging autonomous or semi-autonomous drones.

    To illustrate proxies in a different context: as a video editor, when I work with high-resolution footage in Premiere Pro that’s too heavy for my computer, I use “proxies”—lighter duplicates of the original files. This speeds up the editing process while maintaining the full-quality source for final export.

    In military tech, drones are like these proxies—they’re smaller, cheaper, and safer to deploy, while still accomplishing mission objectives.

     

    Nathan Mintz:
    …or 1,000 remote-controlled buggies—

     

    Mike Collins:
    And they’re all made, like you said, in a garage for 500 or 1,000 bucks.

     

    Nathan Mintz:
    Exactly. And that’s what we’ll see more of in the future. We need to respond, and we also need to realize that our current platforms are vulnerable to this because of “magazine depth” issues.

    Some destroyers we had off the coast of Israel during the last conflict exhausted three-quarters of their munitions. If another wave of missiles had come in, who knows if we would’ve been able to stop them?

    We have to change to a different paradigm. This means, on one hand, adopting directed energy weapons—like what we’re doing at Epirus—and on the other, replacing a single $500 million platform with 1,000 platforms that cost $1,500 each.

    But legacy contractors will resist that—they’ve spent hundreds of billions of dollars…

     

    Mike Collins:
    And they have the overhead. This is classic Clayton Christensen disruption theory, right? They’re not going to get it.

    So, what do you see as the role of Silicon Valley—and I mean that broadly? Is this entrepreneurial ecosystem ready and prepared to help the country through this inflection point?

     

    Nathan Mintz:
    A lot of ground has been broken over the course of my career, thanks to friends and classmates from Stanford who paved the way. Palantir and SpaceX were the first two to break into what’s essentially a monopsony—a cartel—that the defense primes had created to discourage competition.

    SpaceX tackled space. Palantir tackled software. Then Anduril emerged, bringing hardware solutions. Epirus, Shield AI, Capella Space, and many others followed.

    Now, the dam is breaking. Hundreds of defense startups are emerging, and that’s a beautiful thing.

    I think the Department of Defense has embraced this. They realize there’s real benefit in having private-sector innovators with capital at risk and enormous upside potential doing R&D. Sure, they might have to pay more to satisfy commercial profit margins, but they benefit from faster, more agile innovation.

    Some startups will fail—and that’s okay. That’s how innovation happens. We’re now seeing capabilities that didn’t exist 15 years ago.

    Take Vannevar Labs: they take open-source intelligence and sell it as a product to foreign governments. Hawkeye 360 does something similar. Instead of selling satellites, they sell the end product. They do this with US cooperation and consent, staying aligned with DOD interests.

    You also have organizations like DIU, AFWERX, SOFWERX, and other innovation labs creating opportunities for defense startups. These companies are securing $10, $20, even $30 million contracts. Some, like Forterra, are more established; others, like Saronic, are brand new.

    The DOD is leaning into this, focusing on enabling startups to play a serious role in reshaping defense innovation.

    Nathan Mintz:
    And the traditional contractors are at a major disadvantage because they don’t have access to prime talent anymore—they’ve atrophied in terms of talent. Their processes are built around imagining something being manufactured in 100,000 units on day one, and they apply those same processes at the start of a project, wondering why it costs so much.

    We’re seeing massive proliferation in the space sector. There are so many bus providers and launch providers now that didn’t exist before. That’s wonderful competition—it’s driving down costs and improving quality.

    I think that is Silicon Valley’s role. It’s our nation’s innovation engine. We put venture capital to work to solve really hard problems. Right now, we face major challenges from China and Russia that we need to address. Initially, there were political antibodies in the Valley against defense work, but that resistance has diminished.

    I advise several venture funds and startups, and now I get calls about missile companies. A few years ago, that never would’ve happened.

     

    Mike Collins:
    I think there’s been a shift, and I believe we’ve reached a tipping point over the past 12 months. From government to VCs to entrepreneurs, there’s a growing sentiment that the world is changing.

    If we want to maintain America as a strong voice of Western democracy, there are strategic areas where we cannot afford to fall behind. We cannot make all of our chips a stone’s throw away from mainland China. We need to lead in AI, space, and the next wave of military innovation—or our global position will erode.

    The beauty of America is our entrepreneurial engine, which has achieved incredible things over the past 50 years. We’re in the game in many areas—energy innovation, health tech, AI—but we can’t pause. Falling behind would be very dangerous.

    People have realized: “I’d rather send in a drone than a 20-year-old from Des Moines, Iowa, to clear a building.” That’s the choice now. Many have come around to the idea that leading in these areas is not just strategic—it’s patriotic. We believe in supporting entrepreneurs who are solving these vital problems.

     

    Nathan Mintz:
    Exactly. There’s been a clear sentiment shift. When we started Epirus, some investors wouldn’t even talk to us because their limited partner agreements prohibited defense investments. That’s completely changed.

    But we have to be cautious—this industry requires subject matter expertise. The DOD acquisition framework hasn’t changed much. That’s why I started writing a Substack: to explain these nuances and help investors distinguish between real opportunities and fool’s gold.

    I worried that poor investment decisions could lead to a high-profile failure—like a defense-sector Theranos—that could blow the airlock on the entire vertical.

     

    Mike Collins:
    Absolutely. The entrepreneurial ecosystem is governed by power-law dynamics. It’s incredibly powerful, but you must accept failure, iteration, and pivots. The venture industry has learned these lessons over decades.

    Defense is a different environment—we have to educate each other and collaborate. Ignoring American ingenuity, universities, brilliant young talent, venture capital, and our legal and experience base would be a tragedy. We need to bring all of that together.

     

    Sam:
    We’ll hop right back into the rest of this interview after a short break.

     

    Speaker 6:
    Do you have a venture capital portfolio of cutting-edge startups? Without one, you could be missing out on enormous value creation and a more diversified portfolio. Alumni Ventures, ranked a top-20 VC firm by CB Insights, is the leading VC firm for individual investors. Believe in investing in innovation? Visit av.vc/foundation to get started.

    Mike Collins:
    Last question, Nathan. Many of our listeners are entrepreneurs. You’ve been through the journey multiple times—what advice would you give to a founder who’s just closed their seed round?

     

    Nathan Mintz:
    First, capital is expensive right now, and raising it will take longer. In defense or hard tech, pre-seed and seed rounds are still relatively achievable. If you’ve built a strong team and your concept doesn’t defy physics, persistence for a few weeks or months will likely get you that first funding.

    But for the second round, you’d better hit your milestones. Be disciplined and focused on spending—especially with hiring. I’ve made the mistake of growing too fast, burning too much capital, and needing to cut back.

    If people aren’t pulling their weight, don’t hesitate to act. As a small team, your advantage is speed. When you delay tough decisions, you lose that edge.

    Startups need to move fast and fail forward. As CEO, half of your decisions will be wrong—but if you recognize mistakes quickly and iterate, by the second or third attempt you’ll be right most of the time. It’s about being directionally accurate and moving forward.

    Be prepared to take a punch. The market is tough. The first fundraise might feel easy, but without delivering on promises, raising that second round will be much harder.

     

    Mike Collins:
    That’s great advice and more true now than ever. Seed funding is still available, but A rounds have become far harder to secure—you’ll need to be in the top 10% or stretch your money much further than expected.

    That constraint can be healthy. It forces you to avoid waste, focus on critical milestones—whether technical or market-based—and execute. Keep that milestone list short and hit it.

    And remember: in startups, you might start with 10 ideas and only 4 will be right. The key is discovering which ones quickly. A startup is like a benevolent dictatorship—you make decisions fast, execute, and if you’re wrong, fix it tomorrow.

    Mike Collins:
    This is the biggest delta, for me, between what they taught me at business school and what I’ve learned in 30 years of experience: a fast decision is better than a perfect decision. The volume of decisions is really important. Get the data quickly, make up your mind, and then try to make it right.

    Jeff Bezos talks about one-way doors and two-way doors. Most decisions in a startup are two-way doors. If you got it wrong, fix it. If you picked the wrong VP of Marketing or the wrong CFO—if it’s wrong, it’s wrong. Fix it and move on. You’re not doing anybody any favors by sticking with a mediocre decision.

     

    Nathan Mintz:
    100%.

     

    Mike Collins:
    Nathan, I really appreciate your time today. This was fascinating. I’m looking forward to talking again. I think this was incredibly insightful, so thanks for sharing your time.

     

    Nathan Mintz:
    Thank you, Mike. Happy to be here. I share some of my insights almost weekly on my Substack—it’s called Bow of Theseus. You can check it out for more thoughts on these topics.

     

    Mike Collins:
    And I read it. We’ll include it in the show notes. If this is an area that resonates with you, Nathan’s writing is an excellent resource—really good content, so definitely take advantage of that.

     

    Nathan Mintz:
    Thank you so much. All right, thanks, Mike. Happy to be on.

     

    Mike Collins:
    Have a good one, Nathan. Nice chatting with you. Bye.

     

    Nathan Mintz:
    Bye.

     

    Sam:
    Thanks again for tuning in to The Tech Optimist. If you enjoyed this episode, we’d really appreciate it if you gave us a rating on whichever podcast app you’re using. And remember to subscribe to keep up with each episode.

    The Tech Optimist welcomes any questions, comments, or segment suggestions. Please email us at [email protected] with any of those, and be sure to visit our website at av.vc. As always, keep building.

     

Frequently Asked Questions

FAQ
  • Sam:
    The God of rocket science. Who is that? My name is Sam, your guide, and welcome back to the Tech Optimist.

    Thomas Mueller:
    The whole thought for Impulse was, let’s develop in-space transportation to move those things around in space.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    Boeing 747—an example of something great for taking people or cargo from New York to London—but you’re not going to park it in your driveway.

    Thomas Mueller:
    I’m super excited about what I call the true space economy developing. The Earth is finite, and space is infinite, so we should start using the resources of space.

    Sam:
    In a world captivated by criticism, it’s easy to overlook the groundbreaking technologies shaping our future. Let’s shine a light on innovators who are propelling us forward. As the most active venture capital firm in the U.S., we have an exceptional view of tech’s real-world impact. Join us as we explore, celebrate, and contribute to the stories of those creating tomorrow. Welcome to the Tech Optimist.

    As a reminder, the Tech Optimist podcast is for informational purposes only. It’s not personalized advice and it’s not an offer to buy or sell securities. For additional important details, please see the text description accompanying this episode.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    Cool. Welcome, everyone. I am Drew Wandzilak. I’m an investor with Alumni Ventures, and joining me today on this series of great founders, technologists, and entrepreneurs is Tom Mueller, the founder and CEO of Impulse Space and also founding employee number one at SpaceX. Thanks for being here, Tom.

    Thomas Mueller:
    Thank you for having me.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    Yeah. We’re going to jump into a bunch of stuff in the space economy, we’re going to talk about Impulse. There’s a lot of great content out there about SpaceX, but we will of course maybe spend some time talking about your time there.

    Let’s center the audience. These are people that maybe vary from heavily interested in space to maybe they’re just curious about this market. I think a great place to start is actually with your SpaceX experience. What was the environment like and the interest from the market in space as an investment, as a technology, back when you started at SpaceX about two decades ago?

    Thomas Mueller:
    When we started SpaceX, there were a lot of naysayers. Most people didn’t believe we could do it. Even I, joining, thought, “This is high risk. Is this going to go? I’ve got to go try it but have an exit plan,” because the chances were pretty low. Most space startups—launch startups—that had tried had already failed.

    It was definitely high risk, hard to get investment until you’d actually done a lot. Really, we didn’t get a big investment until 2008 after we launched successfully following three failures. So, really, a whole different environment than it is now.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    A big part of that environment, at least in our view, is as a result of the work that you and the team did at SpaceX—the rapid ability of launch, the low cost of launch. Something like Impulse wouldn’t have existed 15 or 20 years ago. It couldn’t have, right? Can you maybe share a little bit about the final few years at SpaceX, into the origins of Impulse, and what drew you to this concept? And maybe a little bit of an overview of what Impulse is because we’re excited about it.

    Thomas Mueller:
    Sure. Basically, for the last six years—since the time that I became propulsion CTO—I was working mostly on BFR, which became Starship, which was fun. I originally sized that spaceship and convinced Elon and others to change it from hydrogen fuel to methane fuel.

    A fully reusable vehicle that can be flown often, that can take at least 100 tons to low Earth orbit every time it flies. Realizing it was going to be a thing, I was just thinking the next opportunity is going to be in space. It’s going to bring a lot of stuff to space. It’s basically solved the problem of getting to low Earth orbit.

    Now, the next problem is going to be moving it around in orbit, because most cargo loads of 100 tons are not going to be a single object. They’re going to be multiple things. Think of a big cargo ship coming into port—lots of cargo containers that need to go to lots of different places. The whole thought for Impulse was, let’s develop in-space transportation to move those things around in space.

    Sam:
    More on Impulse Space with Drew and Tom right after this.

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    Drew Wandzilak:
    I used a Boeing 747 as an example—it’s great for taking people or cargo from New York to London, but you’re not going to park it in your driveway. You’re not going to pull it into your local town hall to deliver packages. That’s really the mission of Impulse.

    There are two offerings under the Impulse umbrella. There’s Mira, which you guys launched your first one pretty recently, and then you have Helios, which was publicly announced a couple of months ago. What is Mira, what is Helios, and how do those two relate to each other and this grand vision that you have for the company?

    Thomas Mueller:
    I call Mira the “stay-there” vehicle. It has storable propellants; it can stay on for years because the propellants can be stored at room temperature and don’t go away. But it has a limited amount of Delta V it can do. In space, movement is Delta V—how many meters per second you can add to a body to change its orbit. Mira can do something like on the order of 1 kilometer per second of Delta V, which is great for moving around in GEO, but it won’t get you to the moon or to high-energy orbits.

    Helios is the “get-there” product. It’s basically adding a kick stage, almost like adding a third stage to an existing vehicle like Falcon 9. Actually, several could fly on a Starship. It can do anywhere from 4 to 10 kilometers per second of Delta V. Now you’re talking about being able to escape Earth’s gravity, go to high-energy orbits, go to the moon, go to Mars, or speed up getting to the outer planets. It’s essentially adding as much chemical energy impulse to a payload as possible. It’s really about prime movement in space.

    Sam:
    I don’t know if you guys know this, but I am not an aerospace engineer. I’m just the podcast editor for this show and the guide for this show, so I’m going to leave the explanation of Mira and Helios up to Tom himself. I did a little bit of digging and found this really awesome YouTube video by Ellie In Space. She interviewed Tom in their facility. It’s a really awesome video—just under an hour. Obviously, I’m not going to share the whole thing, but I’m going to share a few snippets because I think it’s really impactful to see how they operate and hear Tom talk about his technology.

    Here are a few snippets from that video from Ellie In Space, which was posted just about a month ago, so it’s still pretty recent, which is awesome. I thought they were super cool and I thought you all would enjoy it. Here’s a little bit more about the two projects Tom was just previously talking about.

    Thomas Mueller:
    You can see there are four thrusters on each side—those are little safe thrusters—and there are four more on that side, so eight total. That structure on the back there is the mount for the solar cells. Out on the corner of the solar cells, those valves are basically cold gas thrusters. They use ethane gas to point it—point the antennas at the ground and point the solar cells at the sun. When we want to do an orbit change, we point it in the right direction and burn the engines for a given amount of time to move in orbit.

    Ellie:
    When do you expect to launch this one?

    Thomas Mueller:
    This one’s going up in October of this year.

    Ellie:
    Okay.

    Thomas Mueller:
    Yeah.

    Ellie:
    Wow.

    Thomas Mueller:
    It’s getting ready. In the next month it’s going to go to system vibes. We send it out to a company and shake it to simulate launch, and then it’s hands-off after that because it’s been tested.

    Ellie:
    Your first one was November 2023 on a SpaceX rocket, correct?

    Thomas Mueller:
    Yep.

    Ellie:
    Did you want to have a full year almost in between or have there been delays?

    Thomas Mueller:
    I think we wanted to go on 11, but for some reason, we just ended up on 12.

    Ellie:
    Okay.

    Thomas Mueller:
    Yeah.

    Ellie:
    Interesting.

    Thomas Mueller:
    Yeah, no, it’s fine.

    Ellie:
    Very cool.

    Thomas Mueller:
    We’re mostly working on Helios this year anyway. Last year was all about Mira; this year is mostly about Helios.

    Ellie:
    Okay.

    Thomas Mueller:
    The demo launch is going to be in early ’26.

    Ellie:
    Wow. Same timing as the lander, right?

    Thomas Mueller:
    Mm-hmm.

    Ellie:
    Okay.

    Thomas Mueller:
    Well, this will be late ’26, but yeah.

    Ellie:
    Okay.

    Thomas Mueller:
    That’s going to be a busy year.

    Ellie:
    ’26 will be a big year for you. If someone’s never heard of Mira or is not familiar, this is like a space tug to transport from LEO to MEO, correct?

    Thomas Mueller:
    Yes. Well, mostly this is made to move around in low-Earth orbit. It goes up on Transporter, it’s optimized to fit in the Transporter lower spots, and Transporter dumps everybody typically at a 500-kilometer circular orbit, sun-synchronous. Some people want to go to different timings or different orbits, different altitudes, and we can take 300 kilograms of things and stuff to different places.

    You ready to do a burn, Kian?

    Kian:
    Yes, sir.

    Thomas Mueller:
    This is our test area back here. We have the vacuum test chamber for running the little five-pounder here. We’ve got shaker tables over here, so we simulate launch basically on components, and over there is a hard vacuum where we pull down to really simulate space for avionics and things.

    Ellie:
    Do you need this big of a vacuum for a five-pound thruster test?

    Thomas Mueller:
    Yep. Here, I’ll show you.

    Ellie:
    I guess this probably isn’t that big, then.

    Thomas Mueller:
    It’s not that big. It’s about the right size actually for this. There’s the thruster mounted on a thrust stand. You can hear the vents and the valve cycling. That line right there goes out to a vacuum pump out back, and this vacuum gauge—we’re at 1.4 torr. The atmosphere is 760 torr; 760 millimeters of mercury is what a torr is. So, we’re at 1.5 torr—we’re one five-hundredth of atmosphere basically in there. It’s in a vacuum. The plume has a high area ratio. It’s got a 100 area ratio, so it’ll expand the plume completely, so we’re measuring thrust.

    Ellie:
    What is this one called?

    Thomas Mueller:
    That’s SAFE.

    Ellie:
    SAFE, okay. I just want to make sure I didn’t mispronounce it…

    Thomas Mueller:
    Yeah, this is the one that we have. There are eight of these on a Mira, and there’ll be 48 of these on the Vast Space Station.

    Ellie:
    Wow.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    Yeah, hence the name Impulse. I think your focus on propulsion—that’s the key here. For those listening that didn’t take at least a couple of summers of aerospace engineering classes like I did, explain the importance of that density and even Delta V—some of these terms you’re using that are so crucial, I think, to what you guys are doing. Someone hears that, and a kilometer a second—that’s pretty fast, right?

    Thomas Mueller:
    Yeah.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    What does that mean in actuality?

    Thomas Mueller:
    Orbital velocity is 7 kilometers per second at low-Earth orbit. To get to higher energy orbits, that potential energy to get out of the gravity well takes… To get from low-Earth orbit to geosynchronous orbit, which is, say, 300 kilometers at some inclination to 36,000 kilometers at the equator, is about 4.2 kilometers per second nominally.

    Helios can add that much Delta V to a four-ton payload in order to get it to geosynchronous orbit. The rocket equation—the very simple rocket equation—only really has two factors: the performance of the engine and the mass ratio, full to empty, which basically means how much propellant you can store compared to your total structural and payload mass.

    You want to make your spacecraft as light as possible, hold as much propellant as possible, and have as high-performance rocket engines as possible. It’s that simple. We just try to make the spacecraft extremely light and try to make the performance of the engines as high as possible.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    Yeah, and you need that trade-off to get these larger payloads to GEO, or geosynchronous orbit. Again, I’ll ask—we were talking about LEO, we’re talking about GEO. Why is it so important that we get to GEO? Why does there even have to be this infrastructure that provides that? Again, for people listening, a lot operates in LEO right now.

    Thomas Mueller:
    If you go back before Starlink and LEO constellations became a thing—they tried back in the late ’90s and the early 2000s and failed the first time around, and that’s why a lot of people were naysayers that Starlink would be successful. Before that, it was GEO. Your DirecTV dish is pointed at a geosynchronous satellite.

    The fact that you point to the south is because it’s at the equator, which is south of North America. Geosynchronous means it has a 24-hour orbit, so it stays at the same spot in the sky relative to the surface of the Earth. Super important orbit. Hughes Aircraft’s been flying geosynchronous spacecraft since the ’60s and it really proliferated in the ’70s.

    That was the main way to do worldwide telecommunications—through GEO—until Starlink came along, which now, instead of on the order of a second of transit time, now you’re talking just milliseconds. LEO becomes super important if you want low latency, like instant internet or communications. But still, the cheapest way to move bits through space is just through the GEO circuit. You could cover the whole globe with three satellites.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    That’s why it’s so special and so important. There’s obviously a massive market there. Do you see GEO—with what SpaceX has done and will continue to do, and what Impulse is doing now—open up GEO to new markets that we’re not thinking about, that isn’t just moving bits around? What does this unlock?

    Thomas Mueller:
    If you look at the predictions for GEO—like the Euroconsult numbers that we looked at—or including MEO (Medium Earth Orbit), like the GPS orbits and above, things well above, many, many times higher than LEO. They’re talking about 30 a year. We think it’s actually less than that, but it’s flat. It looks pretty flat.

    We think that by reducing the cost of access to these orbits by a pretty large amount—certainly when Starship starts flying along with Helios—we’re talking about getting the price down by at least a factor of two, maybe even a factor of three. We think that will increase the number of things going there. Certainly, the government missions want to go there. There’s a lot of interest by the government.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    Fantastic. That was helpful. Great. For those listening, you can understand by now, Tom is the guy to talk to about this stuff. I pulled together some of the comments or reviews on posts, and Tom has been described as the leading spacecraft propulsion expert, founding father of the new space economy. I even saw an X reply the other day that called you the God of Rocket Science.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    With those titles, with great power comes great responsibility. You have this, I think, better than most perspectives on the space economy. When you look out at other space innovations outside of Impulse, what’s really exciting to you? What do you feel like maybe isn’t getting the attention or even investment that it deserves?

    Thomas Mueller:
    I’m super excited about what I call the true space economy, developing where we’re manufacturing and assembling in space and then eventually using the resources in space—using the water that’s on the moon. There’s probably at least a billion tons of water ice on the moon. There’s metal and minerals on the moon and near-Earth asteroids that can be used way more efficiently—more than 20 times more energy efficiently—to get that matter from the surface of the moon into low-Earth orbit than it is from the surface of the Earth because of the much more massive gravity well of Earth.

    I think I’m pretty excited about companies like Varta and others that are doing manufacturing and assembly in space. That’s the first step. Once that really takes off, I think pretty soon, these companies are going to have enough capital to realize that getting that material from the surface of the moon or asteroids will become important. That’ll just be the way to do it. That basically offloads the resource drain on Earth because the Earth is finite and space is infinite, so we should start using the resources of space.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    Yeah, absolutely. There’s so much opportunity out there and stuff like Impulse is going to, I think, unlock a lot of these markets that we wouldn’t even be thinking about. Coolest space tech you’ve seen? I feel like 20 years ago we were talking about potentially hover cars or teleportation. When you look out there, what’s the coolest thing that might fit into a Star Trek episode but actually is closer than people would think?

    Thomas Mueller:
    It has got to be Starship. Starship is so exciting. It’s going to transform access to space. It’s hard to beat that one.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    Yeah. I think people—and when I first heard about Starship a long time ago—you think of this step function above in size compared to a Falcon 9, which I think people are used to seeing now. Can you quantify the scale of how big Starship is and then just really what that means? We touched on it earlier, but really what that means and why it is this big breakthrough that you’re mentioning it is?

    Sam:
    More about Starship right after this.

    Speaker 7:
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    Sam:
    Really quick, before Tom tells us how big of a milestone and how big of an achievement Starship is, Starship recently put out a hype video for their fourth flight test. They put out this video a week ago, and as of when I’m editing this episode, it already has a million views. I watched it myself because I was curious, and it gave me goosebumps.

    Just the way that it’s edited and produced, and you see all the reactions from the crew within Starship and in SpaceX that worked on this for so long and have put blood, sweat, and tears into this—it just makes you root for them as engineers, designers, and technicians. It’s just really cool. I’m going to share that first to prepare you for Tom’s response to Drew’s question about how impactful that is. I’m hoping that you guys get goosebumps too because I did, and then it’ll help you really understand what Tom is saying after this, after you see or hear this.

    Again, if you want to see the video, we’ll have a link to it in the show notes, but also the video is on the video origin of this podcast if you want to hop over to YouTube or any of our socials to find it that way. Here’s that video from SpaceX of Starship from their fourth flight test from about a week ago.

    Speaker 7:
    Intentional operators on countdown one. This is the final go/no-go poll for Starship flight four. Stage one?

    Speaker 8:
    Go.

    Speaker 7:
    Stage two?

    Speaker 8:
    Go.

    Speaker 7:
    Eight by two?

    Speaker 8:
    Go.

    Speaker 7:
    Flight directors go for launch. We have liftoff. The vehicle is pushing down range.

    Speaker 9:
    [inaudible].

    Speaker 7:
    Max Q. The vehicle is supersonic. Booster engine cut off. Ship ignition. Stage separation confirmed.

    Speaker 10:
    Hot stage confirmed. Ship under its own power.

    Speaker 9:
    [inaudible].

    Speaker 11:
    You have the jettisoned hot stage. Booster—the primary goal today is to do a landing burn and a splashdown in the water. You can see those grid fins on your left-hand screen rotating and turning to guide the booster. There’s that landing burn! We have a splashdown!

    Speaker 7:
    Ship engine cut off.

    Speaker 11:
    Our primary goal is to get through the extreme heat of Starship reentry.

    Speaker 7:
    Starship is approaching the entry interface.

    Speaker 12:
    Starship is passing through 100 kilometers altitude. Good altitude for entry. The vehicle is passing through 85 kilometers altitude. Flaps have control of the vehicle. The vehicle is approaching maximum entry dynamic pressure. External temperatures are dropping. Starship is in the landing burn. Starship landing burn shutdown.

    Speaker 8:
    What?

    Thomas Mueller:
    As far as just height and volume, it’s slightly bigger than the Saturn 5 moon rocket. It’s got twice the thrust of the moon rocket; it can lift more to LEO than the moon rocket. The next version of it will be able to lift more than the Saturn 5, but the Saturn 5 was completely expendable—it was all thrown away—whereas Starship can be flown again.

    Elon talks about the cost of flying Starship being less than the cost of flying Falcon 1, the single-engine rocket that we flew—the first rocket we flew—which we sold for $6 million. He’s talking about doing what a $10 billion vehicle could do for like $6 million, so it’s quite an advancement for the last 50 years.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    Yeah, I don’t think… I would say easily, most people don’t understand the impact that that’s going to have. Also, just the increased cadence—what SpaceX is going to be able to do with just the Falcon 9 and Heavy—it’s going to be a pretty interesting trajectory over the next couple of years to a couple of decades.

    Thomas Mueller:
    I talked to an investor the other day that didn’t even know what Starship was, and I was surprised. My thought was you shouldn’t be investing in space if you don’t even know what Starship is.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    No, no. I think what I’ve learned over the last half a decade plus just looking at this market more deeply is if you don’t know as intimately as you can what SpaceX is doing, you don’t know what’s happening in space.

    Thomas Mueller:
    It’s all dependent on SpaceX right now. SpaceX got it started and they’re launching—I don’t know what—90% of the mass in the free world to space.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    Yeah, fantastic. As you again look at this broader space economy, what’s missing? What are you waiting to see be developed? Whose mind are you waiting to be changed? What’s that unlocker or overlooked piece of…

    Thomas Mueller:
    I think manufacturing in space, computers in space. If you look at just energy usage, which is driving climate change and a lot of pollution on Earth, and then you look at the growth of energy needs for AI and crypto, we’re going to be at—by some estimates, by 2045—just compute will be using as much electrical energy as is generated on Earth right now. And then everything else is growing also. The use of energy for everything else, even if the population goes flat, per capita use of power is still going up.

    At some point, it’s going to make sense to move computers into space. I’ve been talking about it for a while; people say it’s not affordable. Now I see a lot of people talk about it because it just makes sense. You can build giant solar arrays in orbit, you have limitless energy, and you can just run a computer in space and just beam down the results. I think that’s something that’s going to happen that’s great, and I think just manufacturing in space in general and just using the resources that are in the inner solar system is just the next step.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    I’m glad you brought up energy. A little birdie told me the other day that you, like myself, are pro-nuclear energy.

    Thomas Mueller:
    Absolutely.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    I think both terrestrially and then also for in-space applications, and it’s just—I think—important when you talk about the energy requirements moving forward. Just ChatGPT alone, I think, uses the energy of 17,000 homes or whatnot in a day, so the demands will be there. How much can we bring computers into space where energy is resourced differently, or how do we create cleaner energy here on Earth?

    This was great, Tom. I appreciate you joining. One final question is a little bit less on space and more about you as an entrepreneur. You joined SpaceX—I consider you practically a co-founder. You were there at such an early time, you saw all the stuff that anyone else would’ve seen. You were Elon’s right-hand man. Now you’re in the driver’s seat. Difference in your mind between those early days at SpaceX and the early days now—you obviously have this wealth of experience, but things maybe you didn’t foresee being the guy, the founder and CEO here?

    Thomas Mueller:
    Certainly, I was head down developing propulsion, rocket engines, and stuff. I wasn’t involved in the investor relations or…

    Drew Wandzilak:
    You weren’t doing podcast interviews with me.

    Thomas Mueller:
    Right, I wasn’t doing business sales or business development. As founder and CEO of this company—and I’m CTO too, which is really probably most of what I do is still technical—but there’s just a lot more that I had to learn that I’m getting better at, certainly.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    Yeah, absolutely. Cool. Thank you so much for joining us, Tom. We’re big fans of you guys at Impulse. I just caught up with Eric earlier today and you guys are crushing it. We’re excited to be on board and thank you everyone for listening.

    Thomas Mueller:
    Thank you.

    Drew Wandzilak:
    Cool.

    Sam:
    Thanks again for tuning into the Tech Optimist. If you enjoyed this episode, we’d really appreciate it if you’d give us a rating on whichever podcast app you’re using, and remember to subscribe to keep up with each episode.

    The Tech Optimist welcomes any questions, comments, or segment suggestions, so please email us at [email protected] with any of those and be sure to visit our website at av.vc. As always, keep building.