Inside America’s Next Tech Boom: The Strategic Bets Reshaping Global Power

On a dusty stretch of desert outside Phoenix, Arizona, a skyline of steel frames and clean-room towers is rising. Not for apartments or office towers, but for a “city within a city” devoted to making the world’s most advanced semiconductors. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), the linchpin of global chip supply, is pouring tens of billions into three new fabrication plants here, with help from the CHIPS and Science Act. The stakes are far larger than jobs or tax revenue. In a world where the tiniest chips control everything from F-35 fighters to the servers that train large language models, bringing this capacity onto U.S. soil is as much about deterrence as it is about commerce. As TSMC founder Morris Chang bluntly put it, “Globalization is almost dead. Free trade is almost dead.”
This is strategic technology in action, the deliberate development and domestic deployment of advanced systems that anchor national security and economic leadership. In the U.S. context, “strategic tech” encompasses the sectors whose mastery decides whether we lead in the industries of the future or cede them to others. This includes semiconductors and AI infrastructure, advanced manufacturing and robotics, clean firm energy like advanced nuclear, autonomous defense systems, resilient cyber networks, and secure supplies of the critical minerals they all require. These are technologies with outsized leverage, dual-use in nature, vital in both civilian life and military capability, and often difficult to reconstitute once lost offshore.
America has been here before. In the past century, moments of existential challenge have spurred mobilizations around “must-win” technologies.
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World War II Mobilization
Response to WWII turned the U.S. into the “Arsenal of Democracy.” Aircraft production soared from roughly 5,800 planes in 1939 to nearly 100,000 by 1944. By war’s end, U.S. factories had built about 300,000 aircraft and two-thirds of all Allied military equipment, thanks to coordinated federal direction and massive industrial investment. The war economy didn’t just win battles; it left behind an unmatched industrial base. - Home
The Manhattan Project (1942–1945)
This was as the original “big science” crash program: $2.2 billion in 1940s dollars, over 100,000 workers across 30 sites, and a decisive outcome that reshaped geopolitics. The scale and speed, delivering a breakthrough in under four years, remain a benchmark for what’s possible when national will and capital align. - Home
The Apollo Program and Cold War R&D
This era saw NASA’s budget swell to nearly 4% of federal spending in the mid-1960s, delivering the Moon landing and a host of spinoff technologies. Agencies like DARPA, born of this era, seeded the internet, GPS, and stealth aircraft. Public-private efforts such as the SEMATECH consortium in the late 1980s restored U.S. semiconductor leadership, a direct precedent for today’s CHIPS Act.

These epochs share common traits: concentrated investment, close public-private coordination, and a recognition that certain technologies are too strategic to leave to chance or foreign control. They also share a long tail of civilian benefits — postwar commercial aviation, the digital revolution, the modern computing stack — that far outlived their initial defense purposes.
Today’s push for strategic technology sits squarely in this tradition. The difference is the competitive landscape: instead of one adversary, the U.S. faces a multipolar race in which China, Europe, and others are all accelerating. In this environment, as in past mobilizations, leadership will go to the nations willing to build the capacity, talent, and industrial ecosystems that make the next generation of “must-win” technologies real.
Why Now: Policy Tailwinds, Geopolitical Pressure, and a Once-in-a-Generation Tech Shift
If the TSMC megafab is the physical embodiment of strategic tech, the forces behind it are equally instructive. The United States is in the middle of a rare alignment: federal policy, global geopolitics, and market demand are converging to create a once-in-a-generation window for rebuilding critical industrial capacity. The question is whether we seize it before the window closes.
Policy Tailwinds
The CHIPS and Science Act (2022) marked the largest industrial policy intervention in decades: $280 billion authorized — including $52.7 billion for semiconductors, $39 billion for manufacturing subsidies, and $13 billion for R&D and workforce programs. These incentives have already catalyzed over $160 billion in private investment commitments from companies like Intel, Samsung, and Micron, in addition to TSMC’s Arizona expansion. The goal is clear: raise the U.S. share of global semiconductor manufacturing from roughly 12% to nearly 20% by 2030.
The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) adds another lever, funneling over $40 billion in new DOE loan authority and tens of billions more in tax credits toward hydrogen, nuclear, advanced grid, and clean technology projects. In practice, that means everything from modular nuclear reactors to large-scale battery storage is now financially viable in ways that would have been impossible without federal backing.
Defense budgets are also shifting. The FY25 request includes more than $70 billion for R&D and modernization, with significant increases for autonomy, hypersonics, cybersecurity, and next-gen weapons. White Sands Missile Range, for example, has just completed major hypersonics testing facilities, a direct acknowledgment that strategic tech races now happen on multiple fronts at once.

Geopolitical Drivers
The urgency is sharpened by events far outside Washington’s control. In early 2025, China tightened export restrictions on several rare earth minerals in response to U.S. tariff moves. Prices spiked; manufacturers scrambled. The episode laid bare a reality most Americans didn’t know: the U.S. has just one active rare earth mine, and almost no domestic refining capacity. It was a vivid reminder that supply chain resilience is not a buzzword; it’s a national security imperative.
Meanwhile, the global race in AI infrastructure is accelerating. The DOE recently designated 16 federal sites for high-compute datacenters, some tied directly to next-generation nuclear and fusion research. Hyperscalers like Amazon, Microsoft, and Google are each committing $100 billion or more to AI datacenter buildouts, while OpenAI’s Stargate project with Oracle and SoftBank is envisioned as a multi-hundred-billion-dollar compute campus. The constraint? Power. The IEA projects AI datacenter electricity demand to more than double by 2030; Bloomberg Intelligence puts the potential increase closer to 4x.

Technology at an Inflection Point
What makes this moment unique isn’t just the money or the politics. It’s that the underlying technologies are maturing at the same time. Advanced nuclear reactors are moving from concept to licensing. Fusion companies have hit record confinement times and temperatures, prompting multi-billion-dollar funding rounds. Robotics and additive manufacturing have reached price-performance levels that make localized, resilient production economically competitive again.
It’s the kind of convergence that you can’t manufacture on command. But when it happens — as it did in the late 1930s with aviation, in the 1960s with aerospace and computing, or in the 1990s with the internet — the nations and companies that act decisively tend to set the agenda for decades.

The Investment Case: Where Capital Meets Strategic Necessity
Every era of U.S. strategic technology leadership has had its financiers: wartime bond buyers, Cold War aerospace backers, early internet VCs. Today is no different. But the scale and structure of the opportunity are.
The Capital Gap
By 2030, the OECD estimates the U.S. will need $6.9 trillion in infrastructure investment to stay competitive. The American Society of Civil Engineers pegs the “investment gap” at $2.6 trillion, and that’s before accounting for the capital needed to meet net-zero targets or scale emerging sectors like AI infrastructure. Federal incentives under the CHIPS Act, IRA, and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law amount to hundreds of billions, but those funds are designed to catalyze, not fully cover, the cost. More than half of the gap will need to come from private capital.
That’s where venture and growth equity play a unique role. Unlike traditional infrastructure finance, early-stage and scale-up capital is what transforms promising lab breakthroughs into bankable projects. It’s the money that turns a small nuclear startup’s pilot reactor into a fleet of grid-connected units or a prototype hypersonic drone into a deployable defense platform.

Where the Flows Are Going
The pattern is clear: the fastest-growing deals are in sectors with both strategic relevance and private-market scalability. In 2023, early-stage U.S. tech startups raised about $103 billion. Meanwhile, CB Insights reports that AI startups globally attracted over $100 billion in funding in 2024, with mega-rounds increasingly becoming the norm for breakout companies.
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OpenAI
Raised $13+ billion, with Microsoft as its largest stakeholder, to scale both research and compute. - Home
Anduril
Raised $5+ billion across recent rounds to expand its autonomous defense systems, now valued at $30 billion. - Home
Pacific Fusion
Secured over $950 million in its Series A to pursue commercial fusion power. - Home
PsiQuantum
Raised $450 million to build the world’s first fault-tolerant quantum computer.
These are not fringe science projects. They are heavily capitalized, market-oriented ventures at the center of global tech races.
Why It’s Investable Now
For investors, the sweet spot is when a sector’s technical feasibility converges with its strategic necessity — a point where public funding, regulatory support, and market demand all tilt in the same direction. Advanced manufacturing benefited from this dynamic in the 1980s and 1990s. Today, AI infrastructure, clean firm energy, autonomous defense, and critical minerals are in similar positions.
History suggests that in these windows, capital does more than generate returns: it reshapes industries. The backers of Intel in the 1970s, SpaceX in the 2000s, or Palantir in the 2010s didn’t just ride market waves; they helped create them. In strategic technology, the first movers often become the standard-setters.
For U.S. Strategic Tech Fund 2, this moment is not hypothetical. We’re already seeing the deal flow, the competitive intensity, and the alignment of incentives that make this an investable thesis today. Not five years from now.
The Alumni Ventures Approach: Inside the U.S. Strategic Tech Team
The U.S. has the capital, talent, and industrial base to win the next generation of strategic technologies. But in markets moving this fast, picking the right deals — and the right timing — is everything. That’s where our approach comes in.
How We Define the Field
Our mandate is deliberately broad within the category: we target companies in energy, compute, autonomy, advanced manufacturing, cybersecurity, and critical materials. These are the six pillars most likely to determine U.S. strategic advantage over the next decade. This breadth gives us flexibility to follow the innovation, but the common thread is dual-use potential and strategic relevance.

Our Edge: A Vertical, Connected Network
Alumni Ventures is one of the most active venture investors in the country, with 1,400+ portfolio companies and relationships across founders, co-investors, and sector experts. In practice, that means the U.S. Strategic Tech Fund doesn’t just see deal flow, it sees curated deal flow, often alongside top-tier lead investors and with access that retail investors can rarely get.
We’ve co-hosted venture summits at places like Idaho National Laboratory, where we convened private capital and government leaders to tackle nuclear energy for AI data centers. We’re in regular dialogue with founders solving supply chain choke points, with national labs advancing defense autonomy, and with hyperscalers facing the realities of AI power demand.
A “Look Under the Hood” Approach
Our team evaluates opportunities through a framework built to identify strategic technologies with both commercial potential and national importance:
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Market Mapping
Identifying where tailwinds are strongest and where incumbents are weakest. - Home
Tech Readiness
Distinguishing between breakthrough press releases and true commercialization milestones. - Home
Capital Strategy
Understanding when to lean into a capital-intensive opportunity versus when to wait for technical de-risking. - Home
Strategic Fit
Asking the core question: if this company wins, does the U.S. (and its allies) win?
Strategic Technology in Action
The opportunity is not theoretical. In our first U.S. Strategic Tech Fund, we’ve already seen how investing at the nexus of national interest and commercial potential can produce companies with the power to reshape industries — and, in some cases, entire markets. A sampling of our portfolio companies demonstrates this.

Take Firestorm Labs, whose modular, 3D-printed unmanned aerial systems can be manufactured in days rather than months. By slashing production time and cost, they’re rewriting the rules for how defense assets can be deployed at scale.

Or Impulse Space, founded by SpaceX’s first employee, Tom Mueller, to deliver in-space transportation services. From repositioning satellites to enabling lunar missions, they’re building the logistics backbone of the emerging orbital economy.

In energy, Radiant Nuclear is developing portable microreactors capable of delivering clean, reliable power to remote sites — a breakthrough with implications for both disaster resilience and forward-deployed defense operations.

Similarly, Aalo Atomics is engineering factory-built, small modular reactors designed to power energy-hungry datacenters and industrial sites with carbon-free baseload power. Their first planned deployments would add gigawatts of capacity to meet surging AI compute demand.

And in aerospace, Astro Mechanica is advancing hypersonic and high-velocity flight systems with potential to transform defense, space access, and even ultra-fast cargo transport.
Each of these companies reflects the same underlying principle: when you invest in strategic technology, you’re not just funding a product, you’re enabling capabilities that can shape the balance of power in the decades to come.
Join the Mission
Strategic technologies are not a distant abstraction. They are the datacenters being wired today in Texas and Virginia, the rare earth separation plants breaking ground in California, the hypersonic test facilities expanding in New Mexico, and the nuclear reactors being licensed in Wyoming and Tennessee. They are the physical and digital infrastructure that will determine whether the U.S. and its allies can maintain both economic resilience and geopolitical leadership in the coming decades.
History shows that leadership in these domains is rarely won by default. It’s earned through deliberate investment, not just of capital, but of conviction. In every era, the nations and companies that have pulled ahead were the ones willing to place bold, early bets when the outcome was still uncertain.
That moment is now. The U.S. is entering a decisive window where public funding, regulatory momentum, and market demand are aligned. However, the capital gap remains large enough that private investors will determine how quickly we can move from strategy to scale.

At Alumni Ventures, our view is simple: the technologies most critical to our future should also be the most compelling for investors who want both returns and relevance. Strategic technology is not a niche. It’s the through-line connecting AI to energy, autonomy to defense, and materials science to manufacturing.
The stakes could not be higher. The opportunity could not be clearer. The only question left is this: who will have a seat at the table when the next generation of strategic winners is decided?
This communication is from Alumni Ventures, a for-profit venture capital company that is not affiliated with or endorsed by any school. It is not personalized advice, and AV only provides advice to its client funds. This communication is neither an offer to sell, nor a solicitation of an offer to purchase, any security. Such offers are made only pursuant to the formal offering documents for the fund(s) concerned, and describe significant risks and other material information that should be carefully considered before investing. For additional information, please see here. Example portfolio companies are provided for illustrative purposes only and are not necessarily indicative of any AV fund or the outcomes experienced by any investor. Example portfolio companies shown are not available to future investors, except potentially in the case of follow-on investments. Venture capital investing involves substantial risk, including risk of loss of all capital invested. This communication includes forward-looking statements, generally consisting of any statement pertaining to any issue other than historical fact, including without limitation predictions, financial projections, the anticipated results of the execution of any plan or strategy, the expectation or belief of the speaker, or other events or circumstances to exist in the future. Forward-looking statements are not representations of actual fact, depend on certain assumptions that may not be realized, and are not guaranteed to occur. Any forward-looking statements included in this communication speak only as of the date of the communication. AV and its affiliates disclaim any obligation to update, amend, or alter such forward-looking statements, whether due to subsequent events, new information, or otherwise.
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