The Blurring Lines Between Public and Private Markets
Wall Street’s Next Frontier

The long-standing divide between public and private markets is breaking down, as Wall Street confronts a new reality: the most meaningful growth and value creation now happen well before IPOs. This post examines how shrinking public markets, abundant private capital, and institutional shifts are redefining where and when investors capture returns.
The historical firewall separating public and private markets is crumbling — and fast. The institutions that once defined Wall Street are now scrambling to reposition themselves, acknowledging a sobering truth:
The most compelling innovation and value creation is happening before companies ever hit the public exchanges.”
From minority investments in venture capital firms to publishing research reports on private companies for the first time in history, traditional financial institutions are planting flags in private markets at a scale we’ve never seen before.
We’re witnessing the beginning of a systemic realignment in how capital flows, who gets access, and when value is captured. And the trend is unmistakable.
Start Investing With the AV Syndicate Today
Take 5 seconds. No document uploads.
A Shrinking Public Market
The number of publicly listed companies in the U.S. has fallen by over 50% since the late 1990s, from a peak of ~8,000 in 1996 to around 3,700 today.
Even more concerning is the increasing concentration of market cap. The top 10 companies in the S&P 500 now account for over one-third of its total market capitalization, per a 2025 Goldman Sachs report. The result? Fewer investible growth stories and less diversification for public market investors.
This scarcity has Wall Street looking elsewhere for alpha.

Wall Street Wades Into Venture
The world’s largest financial institutions — long the gatekeepers of the public markets — are now reshaping their role by stepping directly into venture capital and growth equity. Their motivations are clear: private companies are staying private longer, and the most significant returns are now realized before IPO.
Here’s a closer look at the shift:
- J.P. Morgan Covers OpenAI — a Private Company
In July 2025, J.P. Morgan published formal equity research on OpenAI — a private company — breaking with the sell-side tradition of covering only public stocks. Bloomberg framed it as a broader boundary-crossing response to client demand for insight into private AI and frontier-tech leaders. It wasn’t a one-off: research notes have since covered Stripe, SpaceX, and Databricks (all private). J.P. Morgan is also using this coverage in institutional portfolio advisory, guiding hedge funds and family offices on private positions held via secondaries or SPVs.
- Citigroup’s Quiet VC Expansion
Citigroup has launched an internal Private Investing Group focused on “strategic venture partnerships.” Institutional Investor reported the unit has participated in several late-stage fintech deals — part capital deployment, part staying relevant – with earlier access supporting advisory, research, and secondary trading.
- Goldman Acquires Industry Ventures
Goldman Sachs announced (Oct. 13, 2025) an agreement to acquire Industry Ventures, a $7B venture platform, to expand client access to high-growth private tech and deepen its alternatives offering.
- Morgan Stanley Acquires EquityZen
Morgan Stanley announced it will (3) acquire EquityZen to strengthen its private markets ecosystem and expand issuer-controlled liquidity options for employees and early investors as companies stay private longer, while broadening access for Morgan Stanley Wealth clients.
- Charles Schwab Acquires Forge Global
Charles Schwab announced (Nov. 6, 2025) a deal to acquire Forge Global for about $660 million to expand retail and advisor access to private markets, deepen liquidity and transparency for qualified investors, and give private issuers more controlled liquidity options as they remain private longer.
Start Investing With the AV Syndicate Today
Take 5 seconds. No document uploads.
IPOs Are No Longer About Raising Capital
Historically, the IPO was a company’s moment of public debut — raising fresh capital to fund expansion and R&D. But that model is collapsing.
Today, IPOs are increasingly liquidity events, not capital-raising events.
Why?
- Home
Abundance of Private Capital
There is simply no shortage of capital in the private markets. (1) According to Preqin, global private equity and venture funds are sitting on over $2.7 trillion in dry powder. Growth-stage companies are able to raise $100M+ rounds without even considering the public markets. - Home
Valuation Discipline
Many founders prefer the private market's relative insulation from public market volatility and quarterly earnings scrutiny. Companies like Stripe and SpaceX have raised billions in private markets while maintaining higher valuations than they’d receive from a public offering. - Home
Structural Delays in Going Public
(2) According to research from Professor Jay Ritter at the University of Florida, the average time from founding to IPO for U.S. tech companies is now 12–14 years, compared to just 7 in the late ‘90s. During that time, multiple funding rounds, secondaries, and structured equity allow early shareholders to exit well before an IPO is necessary. - Home
Crossover Funds Driving Late-Stage Liquidity
Firms like T. Rowe Price, Fidelity, and BlackRock now routinely participate in late-stage rounds, providing hundreds of millions in capital and valuation support without requiring companies to go public. These "IPO-alternatives" make public listings less urgent and less about capital need.
Why This Matters for Investors
This shift from IPOs as growth mechanisms to IPOs as cash-outs means that the public markets are getting the leftovers. By the time a company rings the bell at the NYSE, much of the explosive growth — and value creation — has already occurred.
Wall Street understands this, which is why they’re increasingly investing in Series C, D, and pre-IPO rounds. They’re not just advising companies on going public — they’re owning equity long before the IPO filing is ever made.
Alumni Ventures Is Already Here
While the world’s largest financial institutions are racing to build infrastructure for this new paradigm, Alumni Ventures (AV) has been operating here for years.
Our model was built for the modern capital markets reality. With access to hundreds of venture-backed startups across stages — including late-stage and pre-IPO deals — AV offers our investors a way to engage with the companies shaping the next decade before they become household names.
Whether it’s through our diversified venture funds, targeted growth portfolios, or strategic co-investments, we provide investors access to the part of the market where value is created — not extracted.
As public and private markets continue to converge, the traditional playbook is being rewritten. The institutions that adapt fastest will lead the next era of wealth creation.
At Alumni Ventures, we’re already playing in this new frontier.
Are you?
Interested in Seeing Elite Venture Deals (for Free)?
- Home
Easy Sign-Up
Click a button. 5 seconds. - Home
No Obligation to Invest
Only invest in deals you like. - Home
Co-Invest with Elite VCs
Frequent co-investors include a16z, Sequoia, Khosla, Accel, and more. - Home
Deal Transparency
Due Diligence and Investment Memos provided. Live Deal discussions with our investment teams.
This communication is from Alumni Ventures, a for-profit venture capital company that is not affiliated with or endorsed by any school. It is not personalized advice, and AV only provides advice to its client funds. This communication is neither an offer to sell, nor a solicitation of an offer to purchase, any security. Such offers are made only pursuant to the formal offering documents for the fund(s) concerned, and describe significant risks and other material information that should be carefully considered before investing. For additional information, please see here. Achievement of investment objectives, including any amount of investment return, cannot be guaranteed. Co-investors are shown for illustrative purposes only, do not reflect all organizations with which AV co-invests, and do not necessary indicate future co-investors. Example portfolio companies shown are not available to future investors, except potentially in the case of follow-on investments. Venture capital investing involves substantial risk, including risk of loss of all capital invested. This communication includes forward-looking statements, generally consisting of any statement pertaining to any issue other than historical fact, including without limitation predictions, financial projections, the anticipated results of the execution of any plan or strategy, the expectation or belief of the speaker, or other events or circumstances to exist in the future. Forward-looking statements are not representations of actual fact, depend on certain assumptions that may not be realized, and are not guaranteed to occur. Any forward-looking statements included in this communication speak only as of the date of the communication. AV and its affiliates disclaim any obligation to update, amend, or alter such forward-looking statements, whether due to subsequent events, new information, or otherwise.